MARKAZIY BANK PUL-KREDIT SIYOSATINING MILLIY IQTISODOYOTDAGI ROLI
Keywords:
pul-kredit siyosati, inflyatsion targetlash, VAR modeli, VECM, Granger kauzalligi, transmissiya mexanizmi, makroiqtisodiy barqarorlik, Markaziy bank, asosiy stavka.Abstract
Ushbu tezisda O'zbekiston Respublikasi Markaziy bankining pul-kredit siyosati instrumentlari (asosiy stavka, pul massasi M2, kreditlash hajmi, valyuta kursi) hamda milliy iqtisodiyotning makroiqtisodiy barqarorligi ko'rsatkichlari (YaIM o'sishi, inflyatsiya, bank likvidligi) o'rtasidagi aloqadorlik VAR/VECM va Granger kauzallik modellari yordamida 2015–2026 yillar ma'lumotlari asosida ekonometrik baholangan. Tadqiqot natijalari inflyatsion targetlash rejimiga o'tishning samaradorligini va pul-kredit transmissiya mexanizmlarining ishlash xususiyatlarini tasdiqlaydi. Milliy iqtisodiyot barqarorligini mustahkamlash uchun qisqa, o'rta va uzoq muddatli tavsiyalar ishlab chiqilgan.
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